Research and Commentary

A Clear Perspective and Point of View

About Global Market Outlook Reports

MARKET OUTLOOK Q1 2020: Saved by Jerome: A Second Wind for the Late Cycle Rally

During the second half of 2019, the late cycle bull market for financial risk assets sprinted to the finish line despite lackluster global growth. Global markets ended the year on a bullish note, with the U.S. S&P 500 climbing to another record close. For much of...

About Global Market Outlook Reports

Our CIO, Tina Byles Williams, publishes our market outlook on a quarterly basis, based on research that examines market conditions over a three- to six-month period. These quarterly analyses serve as key inputs to our fund construction process, which incorporates strategic tilts to the market segments we believe will outperform over a six- to 12-month time frame. For global equity portfolios, these tilts incorporate regional, sector, and capitalization strata as well as investment process and style factors. For U.S. equity portfolios, tilts include sector, capitalization strata, investment process, and/or style factors.

Our objective is to construct a portfolio of “best in class” investments with weightings consistent with our overall investment strategy.

FIS Group Global Market Outlook Reports


Q3 Market Outlook – A Final Melt-Up

At its half-way mark, 2018 has been a tough year to make money. Investors have lost money on US investment grade bonds, on emerging debt, on US Treasuries, on European bonds, and on pretty much every major global equity market. Towards the end of the second quarter,...

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Whipsaws and Other Tradable Goods – Q2 2018 Market Outlook

So far, three of the four main themes for 2018 that we shared in January's report - more aggressive Fed rate hikes, mean reversion of low vol, and geopolitical risks from Trump's foreign and trade policy - appear on track and our Q1 positioning was accretive. On our...

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2018 Outlook for Frontier Markets

The 2018 frontier markets outlook provides predictions for frontier markets in the year ahead, including Argentina, Vietnam, frontier Europe, the Middle East and sub-Saharan Africa. Frontier markets surged in 2017, mostly driven by a PE re-rating in the market.We...

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Q1 2018 Market Outlook

Market Outlook As we turn the page to 2018, there are a few obvious clouds on the horizon for the world economy; however, we expect 2018 to be a transition year. Stretched valuations and extremely low volatility imply that risk assets are vulnerable to the...

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Q4 2017 Market Outlook

Market Outlook Our Q4 Market Outlook includes: A recap of Q3 global equity markets, and why we think the "Goldilocks" environment will continue to fuel pricing into mid-2018 The key risks to the global bull market going into 2018 that we think call for...

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Q3 2017: Full Steam Ahead

Market Outlook | Papers Article Summary As global equity markets continue their rise, here is  our Q3 Market Outlook report "Full Steam Ahead". This issue includes: The Q2 global equity market recap FIS Group's global country and sector positioning for Q3,...

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Market Insights Alert

Papers: FIS Group Proprietary Research


Battening Down the Hatches Part Three

View PDF version Battening Down The Hatches Part Three Part 3: Evaluating Rebalancing Techniques for Portfolio DeriskingIn this, the third of a three-part series “Battening Down the Hatches”, we evaluate portfolio derisking techniques that most cost effectively...

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Why the 1970s and early 1980s style stagflation are unlikely today

The three preconditions that led to the stagflation period of the 1970s are less likely today.  But the relationship between trade disruptions and growth could catalyze a global recession and the relationship between oil prices and inflation expectations could abort the easy monetary policy which current asset prices discount.

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Videos And Webinars

Market Outlook and Research Webinars


View Q4, 2014 Webinar

Tina Byles Williams, CEO/CIO of FIS Group leads a wide-ranging discussion on FIS Group’s view of geopolitical, demographic and macroeconomic trends shaping risk and investable opportunities for institutional investors.
The panel moderator Sam Austin, III, SVP Director of Marketing and Client Service (FIS Group) and Ms. Byles Williams conducted this discussion as a part of FIS Group’s third annual Investment Symposium. The event was held on September 26, 2014 in Philadelphia.
FIS Group, Inc. is an 20-year old Philadelphia based institutional asset management firm that focuses on investing in long-only global and international equity strategies.

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