Following the imposition of a second round of tariffs on Chinese goods and China’s concomitant imposition of retaliatory tariffs, we are – by nearly any reasonable definition of a trade war – in the heart of one at this time. There is good reason to be concerned for even more dramatic escalation. In this quarter’s Outlook, we analyze the near term implications of reduced trading links between the U.S. and China and detail FIS Group’s positioning given our understanding of this backdrop.
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- Stagflation: A Lower Probability, but More Worrisome, Recession Scenario
- Negative Bond Yields Could Suggest Two Opposing Conclusions and Asset Allocations
- Slowing Global Growth and Heightened Geopolitical Uncertainty Are Prompting Allocators to Reduce Their Public Equity Exposure
- Allocators Are Derisking